Great News on inflation today

The PCE reading, which stands for Personal Consumption Expenditure is a report released every month by the feds, the looks back and it measures inflation. (How much buying power the dollar lost if any)

As I wrote before, inflation is the worst enemy for long term bond or mortgage rates. With a great reading on inflation today fear of fast inflation was tamed and that means better mortgage rates.

  If you care about detail read below, The PCE Report is a monthly report reporting on the previous month.

There 2 parts to this report, the PCE that includes all goods and services that a person on the personal level buys or pays for. Then there is the Core PCE, which looks at the core alone and excludes volatile Industries like food and Energy. The fed’s target rate of inflation (Yes There has to be some inflation) is 1-2% year over year.

This months’ reading was exactly 2.0 which is in the feds target Zone. Which means that the fed’s actions to keep the economy flowing paid off for now! Regards Joel Silberstein The silberstein Group

Comments

Great article Joel!  Thanks for sharing!!!
Posted by Jeremy Blanton (210 Consulting~ Social Media Advisors) over 2 years ago

We shall see how inflation does next month Joel, when the dollar has continued to fall, and jobs are continuing to be lost...

Great Post... 

Posted by Rhode Island Real Estate -- Focus Professionals, Inc. over 2 years ago
Thanks for the information Joel, i hope that they can keep a lid on the rising inflation potential. 
Posted by Clark Garrison, "LOAN MODIFICATIONS" (Taylor 1 INC) over 2 years ago
Intersting, Joel.  Thanks for sharing!  I can't help but wonder how many indices it takes to build an economy sometimes, though.  LOL
Posted by Kent Simpson 520.302.5368 Tucson Homes Land & Investment (Tierra Antigua Realty) over 2 years ago

Thanks Guys for reading and fro your comment I appreciate it!

Paul you meant you are wondering what it for this month, because the reports are reported always for the last month. Actually the report for the past was lousy but it was revised, I spared you guys the boring details Lol.

Klarque Yes I will keep a lid, Thats my job to suggest to clients strategies to hedge themselves against inflation, and against potential loss of opputunity due to declining real estate values.

Kent, How many? well many, here is a list of all the reports that come out this month.

Just to make your head spin a little bit.

DateETEconomic Report ForEstimateActualPriorImpact
Mon. March 2410:00Existing Home SalesFeb4.86M5.03M4.89MModerate
Tue. March 2510:00Consumer ConfidenceMar73.464.575.0Moderate
Wed. March 2608:30Durable Goods OrdersFeb0.8%-1.7%-4.7%Moderate
Wed. March 2610:00New Home SalesFeb580K590K601KModerate
Wed. March 2610:30Crude Inventories3/22NA88K133KModerate
Thu. March 2708:30Jobless Claims (Initial)3/22371K366K375KModerate
Thu. March 2708:30GDP Chain DeflatorQ42.7%2.5%2.7%Moderate
Thu. March 2708:30Gross Domestic Product (GDP)Q40.6%0.6%0.6%Moderate
Fri. March 2808:30Personal IncomeFeb0.3%0.5%0.3%Moderate
Fri. March 2808:30Personal SpendingFeb0.1%0.1%0.4%Moderate
Fri. March 2808:30Personal Consumption Expenditures and Core PCEFeb0.1%0.1%0.2%HIGH
Fri. March 2808:30Personal Consumption Expenditures and Core PCEYOY2.0%2.0%2.2%HIGH
Fri. March 2810:00Consumer Sentiment Index (UoM)Mar70.069.570.5Moderate

Thanks Guys

Check out my site http://www.joelsilberstein.com/to the right upper corner, you will see a green box MMG weekly report. click on it and you can See the reports every week.

Posted by Joel Silberstein Brooklyn NY Certified Mortgage Specialis (The Silberstein Group - Brooklyn NY Mortgage Planning Team) over 2 years ago
Great news!  Thanks for the heads up!  I hadn't checked yet!
Posted by Spokane Home Loan -- Casey Brischle -- Mortgage Professional (Bank of Whitman) over 2 years ago

Joel,

It's good news, sorta'.

Personal Consumption Expenditure, personally I'm down to a "third degree potent consumer." I use to be a "second degree conspicuous consumer." It could be worse there are so many in the various degrees of "subsistence consumers." O'well a penny saved is one you don't have to earn.

We find what we're looking for, I'm sure no matter how good the news that the press and the lemmings will find fault.

Bill

Posted by William J Archambault Jr (The Real Estate Investment Institute ) over 2 years ago

Sure thing Bill

media will always problems no solutions!

The only thing here i would like to add is that with inflation now lower, that means a penny saved ie not invested is not such a big loss.

Thats my spin it,

Joel Silberstein

Posted by Joel Silberstein Brooklyn NY Certified Mortgage Specialis (The Silberstein Group - Brooklyn NY Mortgage Planning Team) over 2 years ago

Joel, yes, I am diving into the realm of "conspiracy" but all data has to be weighed against common sense perceptions.  I believe that there will be revisions upward, and that there might be some "cooking of the books" so to speak.  Remember when employment data kept getting better and better during the 80's...the main reason was that the Reagan administration kept revising the definition of "unemployment."

Just being cynical.  Good post!

Posted by Rich Sweum (Golf Savings Bank) over 2 years ago
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